As Prime Minister Narendra Modi confirms his participation in the upcoming G7 summit in Alberta from June 15–17, former Indian Foreign Secretary Kanwal Sibal has weighed in on the evolving dynamics of India-Canada relations — and the limits of Ottawa’s influence in global forums.

In a pointed comment, Sibal stated, “Canada does not own the G7; it is just one among the seven member nations. It cannot unilaterally decide whom to include or exclude from the G7 outreach efforts — especially not a country like India, which has been a regular invitee.”

The remarks come amid early signs of a diplomatic thaw after a year-long freeze in India-Canada relations. Modi’s attendance follows a personal invitation from newly elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, extended during their first official phone call. The invitation signals a renewed attempt to reestablish formal dialogue and diplomatic cooperation.

Relations between the two countries hit a historic low in 2023 under former Canadian PM Justin Trudeau, following his public accusations linking India to the killing of Khalistani separatist Hardeep Singh Nijjar. The fallout included diplomatic expulsions and the suspension of bilateral talks, with India accusing Canada of harboring extremist elements.

However, since Carney’s election in April, both governments have resumed contact at various levels. Security officials have re-engaged, and discussions to appoint new high commissioners are underway. Modi, in a statement, emphasized mutual respect and shared democratic values as the foundation for renewed cooperation.

Sibal highlighted the broader geopolitical context behind Canada’s outreach. “As the global balance shifts eastward, G7 nations need to engage emerging powers like India to remain relevant. That’s why groupings like the G20 have emerged — and India, both as a major economy and voice of the Global South, plays a central role,” he said.

He also pointed out that Canada stands to lose more from deteriorating ties than India. “In geopolitical terms, Canada is paying a higher price for the collapse of its ties with India,” Sibal noted. “It has also been under pressure from the U.S., particularly during the Trump administration, and needs alternative partnerships to safeguard its global positioning.”

Looking ahead, Sibal acknowledged the political risks Carney might face domestically. “Inviting Modi will likely trigger backlash from Sikh separatist groups in Canada. Carney will now have to navigate those tensions carefully,” he warned.

With internal G7 cohesion already weakened in recent years, particularly during Donald Trump’s tenure, India’s presence at the summit is being viewed as essential to restoring the bloc’s global credibility and relevance.